Dive into our methodology section to uncover how CERAC employs cutting-edge, integrative approaches to map out climate and environmental risks, paving the way for a resilient future.

In view of strengthening our country resilience CERAC will conduct complex and multi-disciplinary risk assessments on the mid to long term.

The UN IPCC, in the assessment of the second working group on the impacts, adaptation and vulnerabilities related to climate change (2022) indeed emphasized that climate change impacts and risks are becoming increasingly complex and more difficult to manage. Multiple climate hazards will occur simultaneously, and multiple climatic and non-climatic risks will interact, resulting in compounding overall risk and risks cascading across sectors and regions. Some responses to climate change result in new impacts and risks.

The complex and multi-disciplinary dimensions of the risk assessment at a mid to long term are therefore essential. Climate risks assessments require detailed consideration of all aspects of risk (hazard, vulnerability and exposure), of the possible interactions between multiple risks (across sectors) as well as possible cascading effects. Climate risk assessments imply working on different spatial scales (local, national, global) and different temporal scales and therefore implicate the adoption in most safety and security foresight risk assessments from municipal to country and global scale.

The CERAC methodology will be developed during the First Risk Assessment and published fall 2024. It will be based on lessons learned from other actors and institutions and scientific evidence based methodology, applied to the specific Belgian context.