What is the BCRA?
Produced by Cerac (Center for Climate Change Risk Analysis), the BCRA classifies 28 risks into five main categories: economy, health and well-being, food, ecosystems, and infrastructure and buildings. Among the risks identified as urgent are the effects of heat on health, the impact of flooding on buildings, the emergence of zoonotic diseases, and threats to food production. If these climate and environmental risks are not anticipated and managed, they will severely undermine social cohesion and pose growing challenges in terms of security.
Methodology
The BCRA report was drawn up on the basis of a rigorous analysis of existing scientific literature and consultation with over 250 experts. It is aligned with the methodology used for the European Climate Risk Assessment (EUCRA), conducted by the European Environment Agency (EEA). Each risk was assessed on the basis of its projected severity, according to multiple global warming scenarios (+2°C, +3°C and +4°C), the confidence in the assessment of the severity of the risk and the degree of policy readiness.
